Housing affordability divide grows between owner-occupiers and renters
— WA third among states for annual growth in price of established homes —
— 100,000 WA renters at risk of major financial impact from rent rises —
— First home buyers big winners from government assistance —
Housing affordability has improved in Western Australia but this improvement has been uneven, with a significant divide between those who own their home and those who are renting.
Released today by the Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre, the Housing Affordability in WA: A tale of two tenures report features findings from the fourth BCEC Housing Affordability Survey of 4,000 households across Western Australia, New South Wales and Queensland.
It finds that owner-occupiers are more comfortable now than they have been in some time, whereas many in the private rental market, particularly single parents, are struggling to make ends meet.
Report co-author and Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre Director John Curtin Distinguished Professor Alan Duncan said the divide was likely to increase in the coming months as the full impacts of the lifting of the rental moratorium were realised and pressure continued on an already tight rental market.
“Rents in WA have increased by $60 per week on average since September 2020 because of high rental demand and limited supply of houses available to rent, and are likely to increase further now that the moratorium has lifted.” Professor Duncan said.
“In regional areas such as Port Hedland and Karratha, median rents for units have risen by over $100 per week over the year to March 2021, while median rents for homes in South Perth have risen by $150 per week.
“If rents were to increase by 10 per cent this would have a major impact on the financial wellbeing of more than 100,000 renters in WA, disproportionately affecting those receiving rent assistance.”
Report co-author Dr Amity James, Deputy Director of the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute’s Curtin University research centre, said there had been big improvements in perceptions of affordability, with the proportion of WA households that consider their housing as affordable rising from 39 per cent in 2015 to 53 per cent in 2021.
“There has also been an increase in the number of low and moderate income households regarding their housing as affordable compared to 2019 and these trends are partly driven by lower mortgage interest rates,” Dr James said.
“Since 2015 there has been a decline in the number of households having difficulty meeting housing costs, with the proportion frequently struggling falling from 24 per cent to 11 per cent in 2021.
“There have also been big improvements as to how housing costs affect various life domains such as mental and physical health, social life and spending on children.
“Despite overall improvements in housing affordability, a number of households remain vulnerable or have not seen any improvements in affordability and around 40 per cent of respondents stated that high housing costs were affecting their mental health.
“Single parents are particularly vulnerable to housing cost increases, with one in five families rating their housing as unaffordable and 40 per cent paying over 30 per cent of their income in housing costs.”
Report co-author Professor Steven Rowley, Director of the Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute’s Curtin University research centre, said that increased housing stock should eventually ease rental price pressures.
“Growth in the number of dwellings approved in WA had risen by 118 per cent over the year to April 2021, albeit it from a very low base, while housing loans in WA reached a historic peak in February 2021, with around $2.4 billion in loans allocated to the housing sector – twice the value of the previous year,” Professor Rowley said.
“Based on first home buyers applying for HomeBuilder and the Building Bonus scheme alone, there could be around 10,000 households leaving the private rental market over the next 6-12 months, which will ease pressure on the rental market, but provides little relief to those currently searching for accommodation or dealing with rent increases.
“First home buyers have been the big winners from government assistance, with more than 22,000 new housing loans to first home buyers in WA approved in the 10 months between July 2020 and April 2021 – nearly double the number compared to a year earlier and first home buyers receiving a greater share of new home loans than non-first time buyers for the first time since 2009.
“Almost half of those who purchased in the last six months said government incentives allowed them to bring forward their decision to purchase and 43 percent of those purchasing in the last two years stated they would not have been able to buy without the incentives.”
The report also showed the strength of activity in the WA’s housing market as the economy recovered over the course of the COVID-19 pandemic, with Perth now ranked third among states for annual growth in the price of an established house, behind Hobart (+6.6 per cent over the year) and Sydney (+5.3 per cent).
Among the report’s other findings was that COVID-19 had changed what around 20 per cent of households want from their housing, mainly reporting an increased desire for additional indoor and outdoor space and access to amenities.
- Perth’s residential property price index has risen 9.6 per cent to 109.2 between December 2019 and March 2021.
- Perth now ranks third among states for annual growth in the price of established house, behind Hobart and Sydney.
- Nearly 11,000 dwellings were approved in WA between January and April 2021. This compares to under 4,800 approvals over the first four months of 2020.
- Housing loans in WA reached a historic peak in February 2021, with around $2.4 billion in loans allocated to the housing sector – twice the value of the previous year.
- More than 22,000 new housing loans to first home buyers in WA were approved in the 10 months between July 2020 and April 2021 – nearly double the number compared to the equivalent period a year earlier.
- From a peak of 7.3 per cent in June 2017, the vacancy rate in Perth has fallen dramatically and now sits at 0.9 per cent as at March 2021
- The median rent for houses in Perth has risen by $20 per week in each of the three quarters from September 2020 to March 2021 – a combined increase of $60 to $430 over nine months.
- Typical rental costs for listings of 3-bedroom houses in Perth have risen by 5.3 per cent over the quarter to March 2021, and by 14.3 per cent over the last year.
- The proportion of WA respondents regarding their housing as affordable has risen from 39% in 2015 to 53% in 2021
- In 2021, 40% of respondents renting or owning with a mortgage were paying over 30% of their income on housing cost, a drop of 5% on 2019 and 8% on 2015.
- 11% of respondents over 65 are paying over 30% of their income on housing costs and over 40% of one parent families pay more than 30% of their income on housing costs.
- A 10% increase in rent would have a major impact on the financial situation of 42% of private renters. This means over 100,000 rental households are vulnerable to rent increases.
- Since 2015 there has been a decline in the proportion of households having difficulty meeting housing costs, with the proportion frequently struggling falling from 24% to 11% in 2021.
- Private renters had the most difficulty meeting housing costs with 34% regularly struggling compared to 26% of those with a mortgage
- One parent families and multi-generational households were in the least favourable position with well over 40% regularly struggling to meet housing costs.
- 1 in 5 one parent family households rate their housing an unaffordable and 40% are paying over 30% of their income on housing costs.