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BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – August 2024
Sustained jobs growth continues to stymie rate cut hopes Monthly labour force survey estimates continue to defy expectations of a downturn in the labour market. Nationally employment increased by 47,500 persons in August. That’s the third month in a row... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – July 2024
— Unemployment rate rises to 4.2 per cent in July, but continued surge in jobs growth the real story. — — Participation hits all-time highs for persons overall (67.1%) and for women (63.2%). — — Results strongly affected by apparent... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – June 2024
— Run of strong employment growth extends into third month. — — Unemployment rate back up to 4.1 per cent as more women enter the labour force. — — A 6th of August increase in the official cash rate now... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – April 2024
Unemployment rate edges over 4 per cent despite solid employment growth, albeit only in part-time jobs. Vacancies and wages moderate, consistent with a gradual softening in the labour market. A rapid fall in the rate of employment growth and/or in... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – March 2024
— Labour market remains strong, with few signs yet of the softening in labour demand anticipated as a result of higher interest rates. — — Resilience underscored as headline unemployment rate remains below 4 per cent, along with growth in... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – February 2024
— Employment jumps by 116,500 workers in February, or 0.8 per cent in a single month. — — Headline unemployment rate tumbles back to 3.7 per cent, down from 4.1 per cent in January. — — Robust labour market erodes... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – January 2024
— Unemployment rate inches over 4 per cent for first time in two years. — — Other major labour market aggregates largely unchanged. — — Fall in vacancies gaining momentum in eastern seaboard. — Is the Australian labour market holding... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – December 2023
— Volatile employment figures show 65,100 jobs shed in December. — — Other indicators suggest this overstates the rate at which the labour market is weakening. — — Expect interest rates to stay on hold when the Reserve Bank Board... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – November 2023
– Surprise pre-Christmas jump in full-time employment: up by 0.6% in November – – Participation rate leaps to 67.2 per cent, 0.2ppt – – MYEFO projections banking on deteriorating jobs growth in coming quarters – Jobs figures strong, but estimates... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – October 2023
– Inflation and interest rates to stay high for longer – – Labour market stubbornly resilient, as jobs grow by 55,000 nationally – – Real wages to keep falling in coming quarters – Jobs data in line with revised expectations... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – September 2023
— Labour market weakens, but headline unemployment rate falls. — — Exodus of males from the labour force as male participation rate falls 0.7ppt to 71.0 per cent; female participation rate returns to 62.7 per cent record high. — —... Read article
BCEC Monthly Labour Market Update – August 2023
— Strong growth in part-time jobs keeps unemployment rate steady at 3.7 per cent as participation rises. — — Female employment rebounds from July slide. — — Australia’s labour force participation rate hits all time high of 67.0 per cent.... Read article